By late 2027, most mid-market “AI transformation” budgets will be quietly reclassified as ordinary software spend.
Still open.
Predictions
Dated when I make them, scored when they resolve. No counts and no scoreboard — the record is the point.[sample]
No AI model released this spring will change which decisions mid-market firms should make this quarter.
What I missed: the price drops mattered more than the capabilities.
At least one headline AI layoff will be walked back within a year.
The walk-backs came quieter than I predicted — rehires without press releases.
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